Kutheni le nto iMveliso yamaxabiso eCotton yasekhaya neyangaphandle ichasana-iNgxelo yeVeki yeMarike yeCotton yaseTshayina (ngo-Epreli 8-12, 2024)

I. Uphononongo lwemarike yale veki

Kule veki iphelileyo, umqhaphu wasekhaya nowangaphandle uqhelekile ngokuchaseneyo, ixabiso lisasazeka ukusuka kokubi ukuya kokulungileyo, amaxabiso womqhaphu wasekhaya aphezulu kancinci kunamanye amazwe. I. Uphononongo lwemarike yale veki

Kule veki iphelileyo, umqhaphu wasekhaya nowangaphandle uqhelekile ngokuchaseneyo, ixabiso lisasazeka ukusuka kokubi ukuya kokulungileyo, amaxabiso womqhaphu wasekhaya aphezulu kancinci kunamanye amazwe. Isizathu esona sizathu sale nto kukuba i-cotton yase-United States ichaphazeleka yi-dollar enamandla kunye nemfuno enqabileyo kwimarike yempahla yamazwe ngamazwe, umthamo wekhontrakthi kunye nomthamo wokuthumela unqabile, kwaye ixabiso liye laqhubeka liwa. Imarike yasekhaya yamalaphu idikidiki, kwaye amaxabiso womqhaphu azinzile ngokwentelekiso. Ikamva lomqhaphu waseZhengzhou lixabiso eliphakathi kwi-16,279 yuan/toni, ukunyuka nge-52 yuan/toni ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo, ukunyuka nge-0.3%. Ikhontrakthi ephambili yekotton yexesha elizayo eNew York yahlala kwixabiso eliqhelekileyo le-85.19 cents ngepounds, phantsi kwe-3.11 cent nge-pound, okanye i-3.5%, ukusuka kwiveki edlulileyo. Umyinge wexabiso lasekhaya le-32 yomqhaphu okanyiweyo yi-23,158 yuan/toni, phantsi kwe-22 yuan/toni ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo; Umsonto wesiqhelo uli-180 yuan/toni ngaphezulu komsonto wasekhaya, unyuke nge-411 yuan/toni ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo. Isizathu esona sizathu sale nto kukuba i-cotton yase-United States ichaphazeleka yi-dollar enamandla kunye nemfuno enqabileyo kwimarike yempahla yamazwe ngamazwe, umthamo wekhontrakthi kunye nomthamo wokuthumela unqabile, kwaye ixabiso liye laqhubeka liwa. Imarike yasekhaya yamalaphu idikidiki, kwaye amaxabiso womqhaphu azinzile ngokwentelekiso. Ikamva lomqhaphu waseZhengzhou lixabiso eliphakathi kwi-16,279 yuan/toni, ukunyuka nge-52 yuan/toni ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo, ukunyuka nge-0.3%. Ikhontrakthi ephambili yekotton yexesha elizayo eNew York yahlala kwixabiso eliqhelekileyo le-85.19 cents nge-pound, phantsi kwe-3.11 cent nge-pound, okanye i-3.5%, ukusuka kwiveki edlulileyo. Umyinge wexabiso lasekhaya le-32 yomqhaphu okanyiweyo yi-23,158 yuan/toni, phantsi kwe-22 yuan/toni ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo; Umsonto wesiqhelo uli-180 yuan/toni ngaphezulu komsonto wasekhaya, unyuke nge-411 yuan/toni ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo.

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I-2, imbonakalo yemarike yexesha elizayo

Amaxabiso e-cotton ngamazwe abuthathaka, kwaye izinto zemarike zexesha elizayo zidibeneyo. Ngelixa ingqesho kunye nemivuzo eqhelekileyo iqhubeka nokukhula eUnited States, inqanaba eliphezulu eliqhubekayo lenzala ye-Federal Reserve liye lakhokelela kwiindleko eziphezulu zezindlu e-United States, ngelixa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso eoli ekrwada kunyuse iindleko zokuphila, okukhokelela ekunciphiseni imfuno. yeempahla kunye nempahla. Ukususela kwimeko yamva nje ngaphezu kwenyanga, ngenxa yokunciphisa inzala elindelekileyo e-United States, ukunyuka kweengxabano ze-geopolitical kuMbindi Mpuma, iimali ziyaqhubeka nokungena kumacandelo esinyithi axabisekileyo kunye namandla, kunye nentsingiselo yeemveliso zezolimo. ubuthathaka. Okwangoku, amazwe aphambili avelisa ikotoni kwi-hemisphere esenyakatho aye angena kwinqanaba lokuhlwayela entwasahlobo, kwaye impembelelo yokutshintsha kwemozulu ekuhlwayeleni kwentwasahlobo iya kuba yinto egxininisekileyo kwingqalelo yemarike, kwaye ukukwazi ukucingelwa akunakugwenywa.

Ukubuyiswa kwe-Macroeconomic, amaxabiso ekotoni asekhaya okanye aya kuqhubeka eguquguquka kakhulu. Ngokutsho kweNational Bureau of Statistics, ixabiso labathengi leengubo ngo-Matshi lenyuka nge-0.6% ngenyanga-ngenyanga kunye ne-1.8% ngonyaka. Ixabiso lezinto ezithengwayo ezithengiweyo ngabavelisi bamashishini benyuka nge-0.3% ngenyanga-ngenyanga kunye ne-0.5% ngonyaka, ebonisa iimpawu zokubuyisela kwi-macro economy. Ngokovavanyo lwenkqubo yokubeka iliso kwimarike yomqhaphu yelizwe, indawo ekujongwe ukuba kutyalwe kuyo umqhaphu wasekhaya ngo-2024 yehlile unyaka nonyaka, kwaye intengiso yezengqondo zemozulu yomelela ngexesha lokuhlwayelwa kwentwasahlobo, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kubekho ukuguquguquka okunamandla. kumaxabiso umqhaphu wasekhaya kwikamva elikufutshane mkhulu.

 


Ixesha lokuposa: Apr-15-2024